Followers of Newcastle United are more and more viewing Eddie Howe's outfit as an unreliable companion. On their day, they transform into the undisputed life of the party, producing high-octane performances. However, at other times, key players like their midfield linchpin and others completely go missing.
Exacerbating these problems is a second-half strategy laced with a worrying streak of panic. Before their holiday fixture to Old Trafford, the numbers reveal a sobering picture: the team has let slip 13 vital top-flight points from winning positions this season and are without a clean sheet in 10 consecutive outings in every tournament. Earning three points at Old Trafford would be only their second league triumph on the travel this season.
In contrast, a loss has only come on one occasion in their previous six Premier League fixtures, and despite sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh spot, they are a mere six points behind the coveted top four. Add in an upcoming two-legged Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a strong chance of advancing to the European Cup knockout phase, and it is easier to see the manager's guarded hope.
“We don't just have problems,” stated the team's boss. “We have positives as well. I am very much half full at present. I understand everybody else may hold a different take, but I feel we are getting better.”
The puzzle persists: will this squad match – or even surpass – the heights of the previous campaign's cup glory and European-qualifying finish? Managing a packed calendar complicates.
The resulting tiredness could account for the failure to maintain a superb first-half showing versus Chelsea, ultimately squandering a two-goal lead to draw 2-2. Similarly, it could be the explanation for a lackluster performance in a damaging defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side appeared off the pace just days after a demanding Champions League away day.
While coaching is undoubtedly the manager's forte, the constant schedule of twice-weekly football has drastically cut into crucial training time. This impedes the team's stylistic evolution to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the now departed their former star. Although extremely gifted, the German forward lacks the same blistering breakaway speed or relentless defensive work rate.
In fact, the team's signature pressing game has occasionally broken down. Injuries to key component the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while big-money signings Anthony Elanga and the English midfielder have struggled settling after their big-money moves.
If a change to a 3-5-2 could arguably benefit the team, a full-blown defensive absence list makes that difficult. Important full-backs will be missing for the next crucial matches, straining the squad's resilience.
When playing at their high-tempo best, they look almost unstoppable. The problem is maintaining that fervor for the full 90 minutes. The typical plan B of dropping deep into a passive defensive formation has at times proven counterproductive.
“That game became chaotic at two-all,” admitted the coach. “But the intention was trying to win. We always go out to win.”
What seems required is a balanced approach – one featuring superior possession control, a engine room adept of slowing the pace, and a sensible willingness to occasionally settle for a draw. Yet, a ambition to challenge on every fronts is testing finite player resources to their breaking point.
It may sound sacrilegious to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have eased the current schedule pile-up. With vital Champions League & league games on the horizon, the need to carefully choose focus areas is becoming ever more clear.
The manager acknowledged the magnitude of the journey ahead. “Being at this club, the pressures are enormous. Each game is critical. We have work to do in the league. We're in the League Cup semi-finals, we want to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have lots of improvement to do to transform into the regularly winning side we envision. Our capacity to put sequences of victories has eluded us this season.
“The task is to hit those heights we are aware we're able to reach. I believe that the assurance we can achieve it is returning. But now we have to prove it. It ain't all bad right now, but the upcoming fixtures will decide much.”
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